IK Sävehof v Krim Mercator Ljubljana 29:28

match analysis

15/09/2021

Sävehof won with a goal in the last minute and it may seem that one detail decided the match, but watching the match with Application HE: App shows that the winner was decided by a series of decisions invisible to the human eye.

Dragana Cvijić is the first pivot of the Krim Mercator team and scored 2 goals, and Nataša Ljepoja is the second pivot and scored 1 goal. Cvijić participated in 46 possessions, and Ljepoja in 16.

The division of the time spent on the court by coach Uroš Bregar is logical if we see the individual effect of the pivot.

However, the team was significantly more efficient when Ljepoja played 56% – 9/16, than when Cvijić played 41% – 19/46.

As the ratio was similar in the first half, 54% – 33%, we are convinced that Ljepoja would have played more in the second half if the coach had known this information when he went to the locker room.

In the middle 9m position, this difference is even more significant because Andrea Lekić 56% – 5/9 had a better realization than Pinaud 33% – 2/6, she played significantly more 36-26 possessions, but the team was significantly more efficient when Pinaud played 54% – 14/26, than when Lekić played 39% – 14/36

The situation is similar with the relationship between efficiency and division of roles on the right 9m position:

Ugolin 44% – 16/39 and Varagic 52% – 11/21.

When we know that the 10% difference in efficiency on 62 attacks that the team had – 6 goals, we can conclude that the defeat may not have happened with the received goal in the last minute.

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